May 2009 SWS Presidentiables Survey: dramatic changes, high undecided puts manny villar on top

this  SWS april to may 2009 presidentiables survey is  asking the question “who is the best leader to replace gloria macapagal arroyo in 2010″.

this is what we had to say about that:

it is in some sense a loaded question becuase it adds the dimension of anchoring the answer on gloria macapagal arroyo. more importantly, it does not at all reflect the situation that respondents will get into in may 2010 when they elect a president. by may 2010 when they vote, arroyo will not be a factor at all which then in many ways weakens the results of this survey.

there have been dramatic changes:

we need to cross tabulate and we do not have the data but what the results seem to say is that the dramatic rise in the undecided caused the dramatic decreases in ratings of some of the presidentiables. that seems to say many of the previous supporters of presidentiables escudero and legarda and to some degree de castro did not shift their support to other candidates but simply decided not to decide.

read in full here:
http://2010presidentiables.wordpress.com/2009/06/25/sws-presidentiables-survey-dramatic-changes-high-undecided-puts-manny-villar-on-top/

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